Monday, November 30, 2009

>Indian companies exposure in Dubai(CLSA)

India’s links to Dubai, and the UAE
􀂉 11% of Gulf capital flows between 2002-06 headed to Asia
􀂉 Indian are ~40% of UAE’s population; forming ~10-12% of India’s
inward remittances. 31% of the 5.3m Indians in the Gulf are in UAE.
􀂉 UAE forms ~8% of India’s non-oil exports and 3.0-3.5% of India’s nonoil
imports.
􀂉 DP World operates five container terminals in India, accounting for
40% of India’s container traffic.
􀂉 Real Estate: Emaar-MGF and DLF-Limitless are the key alliances for
investments into India. Sobha Developers had plans to build two residential
towers and two hotels in the UAE.
􀂉 Construction: L&T has two joint ventures in the UAE, others with business
interests include Gammon India.
􀂉 Banking: Bank of Baroda has 10 branches in the Gulf (largest), but mostly
small banking exposure, mainly for remittances. Bank lending to UAE funded
projects in India unknown.
􀂉 IT Services: No material exposure. A few deals for Wipro and one for
Infosys.

To read full report :- Indian companies exposure

>Asian banks exposure to Dubai/Middle east (CITI)

Limited exposure for Asian banks – We’ve been gathering feedback from banks
across the region yesterday regarding their exposures to Dubai/Middle East in light
of the debt issues in Dubai. Initial feedback by bank is included in this note. It
appears that most Asian banks have little lending exposure, if any, to Dubai.
Standard Chartered and HSBC would have higher exposure given their operations
in the Middle East. Otherwise, Taiwan financials show up as having some
exposure. We also include a download of syndicated loan exposures specifically to
Dubai World and Nakheel – HSBC and some of the Japanese banks appear more
frequently on the list.

Stan and HSBC – From annual reports, Stan’s corporate loan exposure to the
Middle East was US$14bn at 1H09, equal to 7.6% of group loans and 60% of
equity. HSBC’s loan exposure to UAE was US$15.9bn at 1H09, equal to 1.7% of
group loans and 13% of equity.


Taiwan financials – So far, First, Mega, Sinopac, Chinatrust, Shin Kong, Cathay,
and Taishin have revealed exposures to Dubai/UAE. Exposures among Taiwanese
financials are not entirely surprising as companies have been forced to tap
overseas markets for yield, given the pressures from low interest rates, excess
liquidity, and a tough competitive environment. Thus far, amounts are not that
worrying and represent an earnings hit as opposed to a capital hit. However, the
earnings hit may be more significant for some, especially as their earnings buffer
is not as wide in the first place.

To read full report :- Asian banks