>Meghmani Organics Ltd. (IndiaNivesh)
CMP Rs.17 | EV/EBITDA (FY15E) 5.4x | (FY16E) 4.8x Target Rs.34 (5.9x FY16E P/E)
Investment Rationale
Absence of incremental growth capex from here on could lead to higher free cash flow generation, repayment of debt (paid Rs.500 mn in Oct-2014) and better net profit margin.
Investments in pollution control equipment and permissions in place from state level pollution control board. This could result in higher plant utilization and margin expansion.
Given that all safety and environment certifications are in place, MOL could attract new order wins and also remain eligible for contract manufacturing order from MNCs .
All newly commenced facilities both in Pigments & Agrochemical segments are stabilized and ready to deliver higher revenue growth going ahead.
Valuations
At CMP of Rs.17, the stock is trading at EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.4x FY15E and 4.8x FY16E estimates. In our view, the current valuations are significantly below 7.5x global peer average. On back of various triggers like: (1) debt reduction, (2) margin expansion, and (3) higher plant utilization the stock is poised for re-rating. We have assigned 5.9x EV/EBITDA multiple (21% discount to global peers) to arrive at FY16E based price target of Rs. 34/share with BUY rating.
RISH TRADER
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