>RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED: F2012: A Big Year for EPC
Quick Comment: Reliance Infrastructure reported
F4Q12 standalone revenue of Rs57.3bn (up 142% YoY),
EBITDA of Rs6.2bn (up 136% YoY), PBT of Rs5.3 bn
(up 30% YoY) and PAT of Rs6.6bn (up 84% YoY).
Revenue was 30% higher than our estimate, but
EBITDA was 9% below and PBT 11% below. The strong
revenue growth, fueled primarily by EPC revenue of
Rs43.8bn vs. our forecast of Rs28bn, was muted by the
150 bps QoQ fall in EPC EBIT margins. While negative
tax in F4Q (deferred tax assets created and previous
year taxes included) pushed up PAT, full-year PBT of Rs
23.3 bn was 3% below our estimate.
Consolidated revenue for the quarter was Rs71.4bn (up
81% YoY), EBITDA was Rs5bn (up 48% YoY), and PAT
was Rs4.1bn (up 28% YoY). Interest expense for the
quarter was high; the infrastructure segment continued
to contribute negative EBIT to the consolidated results.
Consolidated book value was Rs918/sh at end F2012.
Key highlights:
• EPC: F2012 EPC revenue was Rs117bn (up 245%
YoY). We believe significant progress made in
Reliance Power’s Sasan and Samalkot projects was
the key reason for the ramp-up in EPC revenue. The
company expects similar revenue in F2013. The
EPC order book currently stands at Rs173bn.
• Infrastructure: Infrastructure revenue for the quarter was Rs925mn (up 85% YoY). However, the
segment remained loss-aking with a negative EBIT
margin of about 29% in the quarter. The company
has invested Rs43.6 bn in the infra SPVs
(Rs166/sh).
0.5x trailing consolidated P/B is undemanding, but
lack of earnings triggers keeps us Equal-weight:
Execution on Reliance Power and infrastructure projects
will be critical for stock performance along with an
improvement in the macro environment.
To read full report: RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTURE
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