>SOUTHWEST MONSOON (EMKAY)

Advancement continues to be weaker

The advancement of the Southwest monsoon continued on weaker trend during the week ended June 24, 2009 as weighted average rainfall during the week stood at 54% below normal same as that in the preceding week. The number of divisions with deficient/scanty rainfall continued to stand at 28 for the week ended June 24, 2009. The key takeaways of our analysis upto June 24, 2009 are as under:

■ The weighted average rainfall across the country continued to remain way below 10-year average as it stood at 54% below normal for week ended June 24, 2009. n Number of divisions receiving deficient/scanty rainfall stood at 28 during the week.

■ In the rain dependent areas the weighted average rainfall stood at 60.6% below normal.

■ The total rainfall till date is now just about 6.5% of the normal (see table IV) rainfall for the full season compared with 19% for the corresponding period last year.

■ The precipitation graph for next one week is indicating slight advancement to northern areas like Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, and towards north eastern states. Advancement is also likely in Madhya Pradesh, Marathwada and Vidarbha. States like Rajasthan, Gujarat, Punjab and Haryana may continue to face dry spells.

To see full report: SOUTHWEST MONSOON