Friday, June 19, 2009

>PETRONET LNG (FINQUEST)

A case to Buy

Concerns regarding business model
Low oil price was a matter of concern as consumer switch to Naptha, coal and fuel.

Reliance KG gas could increase significant supply in domestic market leading to less demand of Petronets gas.

Increase in volumes as Petronet has achieved 125% of rated capacity in FY09.

Short term availability of gas in the globe.

Failure to enter long term agreement for supply of gas.


What has changed now?
Oil prices have since moved.. resulting in all the substitutes getting expensive be it fuel oil, coal and naphtha.

Recent high court verdict granted 29 mmscmd of gas to RNRL for Dadri plant. This will
reduce gas supply in India once plant is commissioned by the same quantity.

Petronet has recently expanded its Dahej terminal capacity by 5 MMTPA and the facility
will be operational for atleast 9 month in FY10. Additional terminal at Kochi (2.5 MMPTA
expandable to 5.0 MMPTA) commissioning by Dec. 2011.

Spot market availability of gas has eased after November 2008 due to global slowdown.

The company has made long term arrangement for supply of gas from Ras Gas (Quatar)
and Exxon Mobil for additional supply for expanded capacity.

0 comments: